Finally! We have arrived to the start of the 2016 NFL fantasy football season and with that are some pretty tough decisions to make on who to trust and who not to trust with your opening week lineup. I will touch on some very interesting starts/sits that will hopefully help you field the best possible lineup for week one, beginning with wide receiver and my start of the week…
Marvin Jones- Lions (Start of the week)
- With the Cincinnati Bengals, second fiddle to AJ Green in a bottom third passing offense, he was able to put up some impressive numbers with a limited QB in Andy Dalton throwing the ball. A team that finished 2015 with a passing play percentage of 54.3% (27th in the NFL) and 334 completions (22nd), to put that in perspective for you, the two teams ranked immediately behind Cincy were the Chiefs and Rams.
Marvin Jones (Last 3 seasons stat line) Yr Rec Yds Avg Y/G Lg TD 20+ 40+ FUM 2015 65 816 12.6 51.0 47 4 13 4 0 2014 – DID NOT PLAY (INJURY) 2013 51 712 14.0 44.5 45 10 10 2 0
Now with Detroit, whos passing play percentage led the NFL (65.3) and 420 completions (4th best), he is going to have every opportunity to succeed with gun slinger Matthew Stafford still in his prime. Their week one opponent in the Colts (24th vs the pass), already a bad secondary to begin with, has been hit by a slew of injuries to their back end and sets up for a potential huge debut for Jones in a Lions uniform. Projection: 9 rec, 140 yards, 2 TD’s
Tyrod Taylor- Bills QB
- Taylor has been hyped up as a possible break out candidate this year with his dual threat ability leading Quarterbacks in rushing yards with 564 and adding 4 rushing touchdowns to go with 3,000 yards passing and 20 TD’s through the air. However, I am not completely sold on the Bills offense this year with how tough of a schedule they have in 2016, but for week one he is fantasy gold against a weak Baltimore secondary that gave up 30 touchdowns in the passing game last year. Projections: 23 att, 325 yards passing, 2 TD’s, & 3 rushes, 50 yards, 1 TD
Spencer Ware- Chiefs RB
- Jamaal Charles appears to have had a set back in his recovery from last seasons knee injury and with fellow reserve RB Chanardrick West dealing with injuries of his own, Ware could end up with a huge load week one against a Chargers defense that gave up 17 rushing touchdowns (28th in the NFL). Ware flashed some of his brilliance in this run heavy offense last year and is looking to have a big game against their division rival. Continue to monitor this evolving situation and if Ware is the lone back, you start him with out hesitation. Projection: 25 carries, 98 yards, 2 TD & 2 rec, 15 yards
Odell Beckham Jr- Giants WR (Bold Prediction of the week)
- For the record, OBJ is a must start in PPR formats regardless of his opposition. Although I am very skeptical of playing him in points only and standard leagues because Dallas’ new (for 2015) D-Coordinator made the super star receiver look very mediocre in 2015 as his stats below indicate…
|Odell Beckham vs Cowboys in 2015|
In standard league scoring formats, Beckham’s two worst games in fantasy last year were at the hands of the Cowboys and adding further insult to injury, he scored in single digits in only one other game in the entire 2015 campaign. There is an eerily similar feeling to last season here with Dallas looming as the Giants week one opponent yet again for 2016, which has me thinking twice about using OBJ in my touchdown only league this week. Sprinkle in the addition of Sterling Shepherd in single coverage all game and the weak Dallas rush defense (5th worst), has this game shaping up to be a ground and pound slug fest more than an air it out type of contest.
Carson Palmer- Cardinals QB
- After the way Palmer finished last year and his evident struggles in the pre-season with interceptions, combined with the fact that Bill Belichick has 30 days to prepare for your offense. Yeah, I don’t think I need to go any further here.
Jeremy Langford- Bears RB
- The Texans finished 2015 as the top ranked defense down the stretch finishing the campaign with a 313 total points allowed to backs, good enough for 6th best in the NFL. That total even includes Devonte Freeman (37 fantasy points) and Lamar Miller (35 fantasy points) absolutely going off for two of the top 5 season highs for fantasy RB’s against them. To make matters worse, all hope was devastatingly crushed when the news that mega star pass rusher, JJ Watt, will play Sunday. Houston potentially has a secret weapon in, a finally healthy, Jadevian Clowney and if he can reciprocate his play in the pre-season the Chicago run game could be in for a virtually non existent afternoon in Houston.